Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000826 0.000887 0.000952 0.001025 0.001106 0.001193 0.001295
2026-02-08 0.000721 0.000803 0.000892 0.000999 0.001125 0.001267 0.001444
2026-02-15 0.000665 0.000759 0.000866 0.000998 0.001160 0.001352 0.001603
2026-02-22 0.000617 0.000717 0.000834 0.000984 0.001174 0.001408 0.001724
2026-03-01 0.000570 0.000673 0.000796 0.000957 0.001165 0.001431 0.001803
2026-03-08 0.000536 0.000642 0.000770 0.000942 0.001170 0.001468 0.001902
2026-03-15 0.000508 0.000614 0.000747 0.000927 0.001172 0.001502 0.001995
2026-03-22 0.000469 0.000573 0.000703 0.000883 0.001131 0.001471 0.001992
2026-03-29 0.000447 0.000551 0.000683 0.000869 0.001129 0.001495 0.002069
2026-04-05 0.000436 0.000542 0.000680 0.000877 0.001159 0.001564 0.002221
2026-04-12 0.000421 0.000528 0.000669 0.000872 0.001169 0.001605 0.002332
2026-04-19 0.000433 0.000550 0.000708 0.000940 0.001290 0.001820 0.002745
2026-04-26 0.000409 0.000523 0.000679 0.000911 0.001267 0.001817 0.002801
2026-05-03 0.000389 0.000502 0.000656 0.000891 0.001256 0.001832 0.002892
2026-05-10 0.000377 0.000490 0.000648 0.000890 0.001274 0.001896 0.003079
2026-05-17 0.000362 0.000475 0.000632 0.000879 0.001274 0.001929 0.003209
2026-05-24 0.000345 0.000455 0.000610 0.000855 0.001253 0.001924 0.003265
2026-05-31 0.000332 0.000441 0.000596 0.000842 0.001249 0.001947 0.003381
2026-06-07 0.000321 0.000428 0.000582 0.000830 0.001245 0.001970 0.003497
2026-06-14 0.000303 0.000405 0.000552 0.000791 0.001194 0.001903 0.003418
2026-06-21 0.000292 0.000393 0.000540 0.000779 0.001188 0.001919 0.003517
2026-06-28 0.000288 0.000390 0.000539 0.000786 0.001215 0.002000 0.003772
2026-07-05 0.000281 0.000382 0.000532 0.000782 0.001223 0.002043 0.003947